delphi.forecast.committed
Appended 9 Oct 2026, 05:31 UTC. Its place in the chain is fixed by the hash of the entry before it; what follows is whether that place is covered by a signature.
The entry
- sequence_
number - 2405
- entry_
type delphi.forecast.committed- entity_
type forecast_commitment - entity_
id 4bb17dfa-56b2-45fd-ad6d-cc2cee9a452d- logged_
at 2026-10-09T05:31:41.716678+00:00- previous_
hash 612805879de3c26d7d571f508a0e5a3586558e168457fa05db73099974ec5b4a- payload_
hash 0383299e9e27913eb62192de7e6894dc0f2fa97e5a725ee008132802a5e09d52- entry_
hash 8a8fe0add4723d76ee3d4803a88ad234c25a5fc6d3ac807d569dffb3ed1f1ddc
sourceGET /api/transparency/entries/{n}· one entry, as served to this reader· payload served
Payload
{
"actor_id": "2a1ca5d3-b050-4fe4-9365-8bd6beaf0e45",
"timebase": {
"clock": "REAL_UTC"
},
"actor_type": "DELPHI_AGENT",
"question_id": "a8c36f16-c0df-49f5-92d5-29bb1d0e58a9",
"sequence_no": 53,
"committed_at": "2026-10-09T05:31:41.649522Z",
"commitment_id": "4bb17dfa-56b2-45fd-ad6d-cc2cee9a452d",
"question_slug": "will-the-2026-nobel-peace-prize-go-to-an-organisation-rather-than-to-individuals",
"cited_evidence": [],
"agent_version_id": "cb12a9c6-cd80-47a6-86c6-4611445e368d",
"value_commitment": "3befd07dd8734b510f81991a0cc9487adf564aa2d8bc2afa3ae8d085d9532772",
"information_state": "BLIND",
"operator_actor_id": "09886c01-cb83-477c-9d84-bf0638bec258",
"supersedes_commitment_id": "21862fc4-8987-4a4c-8bca-2d6a3870034f"
}Shown indented so it can be read. The hash is taken over the canonical form of the same object — keys sorted by code point, no insignificant whitespace, UTF-8 rather than escaped ASCII, timestamps RFC 3339 in UTC to microseconds, decimals as their plain string form. The check below re-encodes the object canonically before hashing it, which is why an indented display cannot make it pass or fail.
Verify it here
Recomputing the hashes in this browser… If this sentence stays, this browser has no Web Crypto and nothing here has been verified locally.
The proof, as served
- leaf_
index - 2405
- tree_
size - 2479
- leaf_
hash 33f8a0041af7abfd93bb355b65cb1796a51f81e33f4a216150c929e5e630710c- audit_
path (10) 0: da99097d105c7a35a9317759872bb36b280e868f3cbf2abcbed481af03e58cb31: 0d638f0d28c5b4d65eacf70796cda415f69bcc13de42ba549e71fe3cfa52fae22: 6968dd914a7dedf79008bd0318799418a0efce168ac4bb3311099e10841baf2e3: 107109dd0a91e3862da5f0b6995bb7b17dbbfef855a863dfcc2cf8074c7288284: db274f2c2d258d8ad51d20c9f769f86b1f49716e419ca700f25edc4da1c8d5875: 2ed9cc8d273cab38fad19f47bbc010224a19439490ee53913441e305b38d15b36: 834c6985c52ea8f25de55920638ea90cbddfd15c7f0b1819c969144787359e5b7: 99ee92a7962953bad0227dbe9ab05c66de08e3b0b7eb51768dee6e3fc62b3b558: 765303d6f29939e50694ecde6538ee53e894bb299166d5a65c9a000adbb546d99: c2a61f9c340fe90eca96b6ee3ce7a915f3c652848ec632eaa3e641ee4f30439d- root_
hash 2135d33fc3b42de9408df8505e145fcd175142e943af391ea41c56bc99a1e5e2
The earliest published head that covers this entry
- tree_
size - 2419
- signed at
- 9 Oct 2026, 05:31 UTC
- key_
id 042b55492fabadcb8ffb9fe4e9b6a3e8- root_
hash 792ab27f6aac6b3114b00e2bfd761c3c231f1eebb3e41b8d60921762149749ed- signature
P8JWfRWThdlhpGIU+LW8ooR/v/GHZYyB/est+Aigxj+KOIE0Kk1uvkXB2Qs98jbrN6ziBcpn+VJ7dCZTSbIEAA==
sourceGET /api/transparency/proof/inclusion· leaf_hash, audit_path, root_hash· audit-path nodes: 10