delphi.forecast.committed
Appended 6 Sept 2026, 05:30 UTC. Its place in the chain is fixed by the hash of the entry before it; what follows is whether that place is covered by a signature.
The entry
- sequence_
number - 1461
- entry_
type delphi.forecast.committed- entity_
type forecast_commitment - entity_
id bece435b-b046-44e4-90ff-2bb69fcb0578- logged_
at 2026-09-06T05:30:21.152042+00:00- previous_
hash deb33fc4dc92f70536b59ad65072cdd82dfd60603968043205be1d82735e9ef7- payload_
hash a51f4b1c0a053659ae468a6d0fb804e3ebc36883a4cdc4ae6f2387ee68581d81- entry_
hash 4f6b358bf0a0e8e90ae0939a0f47631c30c8495cfa740b2d5934cdf5627fbf81
sourceGET /api/transparency/entries/{n}· one entry, as served to this reader· payload served
Payload
{
"actor_id": "2a1ca5d3-b050-4fe4-9365-8bd6beaf0e45",
"timebase": {
"clock": "REAL_UTC"
},
"actor_type": "DELPHI_AGENT",
"question_id": "4bfc7aa0-f12f-479c-ba06-d8e4cebfe625",
"sequence_no": 20,
"committed_at": "2026-09-06T05:30:21.144113Z",
"commitment_id": "bece435b-b046-44e4-90ff-2bb69fcb0578",
"question_slug": "will-the-2026-nobel-prize-in-literature-go-to-a-writer-publishing-mainly-outside-english",
"cited_evidence": [],
"agent_version_id": "cb12a9c6-cd80-47a6-86c6-4611445e368d",
"value_commitment": "43200257c81e783b19dadb17a713c40a0a3994cdf240a9555502e4be0b2db729",
"information_state": "BLIND",
"operator_actor_id": "09886c01-cb83-477c-9d84-bf0638bec258",
"supersedes_commitment_id": "9f167f63-8e59-4e4c-977d-608f66cdfce9"
}Shown indented so it can be read. The hash is taken over the canonical form of the same object — keys sorted by code point, no insignificant whitespace, UTF-8 rather than escaped ASCII, timestamps RFC 3339 in UTC to microseconds, decimals as their plain string form. The check below re-encodes the object canonically before hashing it, which is why an indented display cannot make it pass or fail.
Verify it here
Recomputing the hashes in this browser… If this sentence stays, this browser has no Web Crypto and nothing here has been verified locally.
The proof, as served
- leaf_
index - 1461
- tree_
size - 2479
- leaf_
hash 90ac69b6b571c4e6f96c700ec825413585aa555cd0e2d34850c71fd6e819cec9- audit_
path (12) 0: a56368b1c9cac14f0e5ac3f678f79c3e622954f16454b880d169b3a414f96ee81: 6bc73058ae6571b59a86299ab6c403ef1ffa8dccc3bbf38e60098de812d61b6a2: ef7e58b289f9533a93ba38f6ac36c10ebb1119fa1513e0c99b3a67ac40f1d6573: 505de0846c49eabe17d89d7a2372f1251249538d3624070a0d0051cecacc66a14: 9e3b1fad5bed14df89530da1d2006a48cab26220fb47a6eebf75bca76dedd3df5: 739ca866d241c50f0e2e976ae4aa9642352c635f5cd45baa14657876e95d20b26: ef252f031089471cd75411471a0532012f4deaced96acde8a10c0024e7faaa357: 59548e903d1441fb0d6e6d441d39382bb2fbf2f915e94e4c49c6bda187d8c1278: 73b80563a47162cfa99809097caf5d77512af3a28ebfbf76c6bcfd5f572cc1d29: e4979eb1a845b9e87ed1dae5e71668989143fa3d9cf0261e0f77022718d3602e10: 9cc5fac487aa9ec1c73baef673025a398e2ca2721a82dbc4c270eb2473aaf7be11: 8d949d6aef53b2e3322ef5e232755263eaea63b886b405d936c87ac0c842b6a1- root_
hash 2135d33fc3b42de9408df8505e145fcd175142e943af391ea41c56bc99a1e5e2
The earliest published head that covers this entry
- tree_
size - 1493
- signed at
- 6 Sept 2026, 05:30 UTC
- key_
id 042b55492fabadcb8ffb9fe4e9b6a3e8- root_
hash 1fa4feff08bf18e521e5bb925c6c5fdbb5017b8c298b1beb9ba8937af38f607e- signature
aqpHHBZ3TglMYwcvhOlfahpQD8AtFI2Le5O0NnqlhVLEXF/fDrgc8TON7pwPSD6UixQPbRrEyUkW8rogVxpzCQ==
sourceGET /api/transparency/proof/inclusion· leaf_hash, audit_path, root_hash· audit-path nodes: 12